EVALUATION OF THE RELIABILITY TEST RESULTS OF A ROCKET ENGINE BASED ON A LOGICAL-PROBABILISTIC METHOD
A logical-probabilistic method for evaluating the test result is proposed, which is based on the theory of evidence of Dempster-Schafer with some assumptions that do not affect the final result. Currently, there is an acute question of creating new types of rocket technology in connection with a change in the situation on the international and domestic market. When creating new samples, it is necessary to pay special attention to the level of their reliability, but also remember to take into account the financial component of projects for the development and manufacture of products.
In this regard, research is currently being conducted not only in the direction of increasing the reliability of complex technical systems, which include rocket engines, but also in reducing the cost of their refinement. One of the research options in this direction was proposed by the author in this work.
The aim of the work and research as a whole was to demonstrate the capabilities of the chosen method for evaluating the test results, according to which it would be possible to draw conclusions about the success of the tests themselves.
As studies have shown, the logical-probabilistic method for evaluating test results based on the Dempster-Schafer theory of evidence, due to the lack of a priori information, can be used in the development of new rocket engine models, but only in a narrow direction. More widely, this method can be used in the design of products based on accumulated experience (amount of information) on existing analogues. Dempster-Schafer proof theory can be applied at earlier design stages, but only in combination with other reliability models.
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